Blackwell energizes base

Two different reports have pointed out that Blackwell's supporters are energized while Petro's campaign is risk-averse, unwilling to take controversial and principled stands.

One article describes Blackwell as "fiery" while Petro is taking a wait-and-see attitude towards Blackwell's media adds. The Dayton Daily News (free reg req) quotes the analysis of William Binning, political scientist at Younstate State U: Petro's staff "[a]re going to want to see how much damage" was done."

Another Dayton Daily News article analyzes that Blackwell's religious and socially conservative base are "more energetic" than Petro's "traditional Republican voters" who, after years of total GOP control of state government, might be kind of worn out." William Hershey rightly backs into the notion that the former NARAL-endorsed Petro (.pdf file) is not as socially conservative as his website claims that he is.

What will happen is that Blackwell will win the nomination and his supporters will bring along with them Petro's voters. Thus JKB, who trails Strickland (47 - 35) by a larger margin than Petro (44 - 37) will sweep into the lead with his energized base.

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