Saturday, January 19, 2008

Better than expected?

CNN puts Freddy-Mac in 3rd, while NRO's Jim Geraghty waxes eloquent on the seeming limits of Fred's appeal. NRO's Campaign Spot talks about some limits on Fred's Success, however turnout will be better than expected. Fred still looks good.

Newsday's Tom Brune quotes University of South Caroline analyst Ben Glease saying "I still think things are quite fluid." The article states the usual CW

Still, the race here by most estimates is between McCain and Huckabee, each hoping to add to their momentum. If one of them wins, he will get a boost into Florida... But the stakes are highest here for Thompson. After a string of disappointing results in the earlier primaries, Thompson, a former Tennessee senator and one-time great conservative hope, bet his candidacy on this state.A third or lower finish could, in effect, finish his hopes, possibly leading him to quit. "I think he needs a win or show," Graham said.

Turnout will probably put Fred into 2nd, at best.

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