JKB leads JP by a 46% - 32% margin, with 22% undecided says a Survey USA poll. The margin of error is 4.8% The T.V.-station-sponsored vote surveyed 436 Likely (R) voters and found that JKB leads in every
age group,
income bracket,
region and
urban/suburban/rural section.
He leads in the
Conservative vote,
male vote,
any college vote
graduated college vote and
post-college training vote.
He trails by
1% in the chick vote, and
4% in the no-college education vote.
Petro wins the moderate and liberal GOP vote. In order to have the slightest change at victory, Petro must win 18 of every 22 (80%) independent voters to have even the smallest chance of pulling ahead. Since the independent usually splits between 50-50 and 70-30 one way or the other, Petro is pretty well doomed. A 66 - 23 split leaves Petro losing by a 53 - 46 margin.
SurveyUSA's methodology convolutes its poll techniques in a phrase only a poll-junkie could love
In theory, with the stated sample size, one can say with 95% certainty that the results would not vary by more than the stated margin of sampling error, in one direction or the other, had the entire universe of respondents been interviewed with complete accuracy.
Translated into plain English this means that 95% of the time, the poll is 100% accurate, within the margin of error. 5% of the time, Daffy Duck might win.
Here's, instead, to hoping for a Bugs Bunny/Donald Duck dream ticket. Bugs is a character, which a President needs to be, and Donald is the perfect VP: he's less prone to rage than Daffy, more prone to hard work and a family man at that since he mentors his 3 nephews Huey, Dewey, and Louie.
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